macro views

Amid a backdrop of uncertainty and financial-market correction, where are the opportunities for fixed-income investors?

We consider what import tariffs and deregulation could mean for certain sectors of the US economy.

The multi-asset solutions team provides an assessment of the macro landscape.

We debate the most out-of-consensus viewpoints for 2025.

We discuss the consensus ‘Trump trade’ and whether it will hold.

We assess the global outlook for 2025 and uncover the key areas of opportunity for bond investors.

We consider the broad investment implications of Donald Trump’s US election victory.

We assess the impact of the Budget on bond markets.

We assess how the new UK government and its policy initiatives might affect UK finances and bond markets.

With an evolving macro and geopolitical backdrop driving changes within the eurozone, we consider the investment implications.

We analyse how potentially higher-for-longer inflation could influence markets over the coming months.

We analyse how China’s economy is influencing inflation rates across the developed and emerging world.

Why we believe a changed macroeconomic backdrop makes an absolute-return investment approach increasingly relevant.

We reveal the themes and sectors that we believe will help us to unlock long-term growth in 2024.

With several key trends set to reach an important climax in 2024, we consider the investment implications.

After two difficult years, we explain why we believe the prospects for bond investors are improving.

What recent events in Russia could mean for the Ukraine war and Europe’s mid-term inflation outlook.

Our thoughts on First Republic's collapse and what it means for the future of the banking sector.

Could we see further financial casualties this year?

We examine the future of commercial real estate and its implications for employers and employees alike.

How the theme of ‘great power competition’ could shape the macroeconomic backdrop in 2023 and beyond.

How far can the bond rally go?

We assess the impact of the UK government’s Autumn Statement on the gilt market.

In the latest Double Take, we examine the investment implications of the continuing energy crisis enveloping the UK.

We examine how the Russian leader’s actions have affected the market’s risk premium and what might happen next.

We investigate the rapidly evolving world of cryptocurrency compliance as financial institutions plan to expand into digital assets.

We analyse potential consequences of new UK fiscal and monetary policy for UK bonds and the wider economy.

We analyse how diverging economies can create opportunities for bond investors with a global mindset.

We discuss the macroeconomic factors driving the potential return of manufacturing jobs to the US.

Why deglobalisation and supply shortages are leading to greater government intervention.

We examine the conditions that have led to increasingly high levels of inflation.

We discuss how our global equity specialists are managing the volatility of today’s market landscape.

We discuss the potential of nuclear energy and how it may fit into the global energy transition.

As conflict continues in Ukraine, we assess the potential investment implications arising from evolving Sino-Russian relations.

We investigate how big tech companies are mining personal data, and how regulators and lawmakers are responding.

We examine the long-term global structural impacts of the Ukraine war and Russia’s pariah status.

We assess what the Fed’s latest monetary-policy signalling could mean for bond markets.

We assess Russian President Vladimir Putin’s list of demands over Ukraine and future implications for Europe’s security architecture.

We assess the impact of a potential rate rise by the Bank of England next week.

Why we believe the post-Covid recovery will be different from the post-financial crisis period.

With protectionist measures on the increase globally, we discuss some of the opportunities and risks for investors.

We assess the near and mid-term implications of central-bank and government policy for bond markets.

We assess the implications of the UK Budget for bond markets and the wider economy.

Will inflation finally re-emerge in a post-pandemic recovery, and how can a balanced portfolio prepare for it?

As policy intervention ratchets up to new levels in response to Covid-19, what are the implications for investors?

We discuss the outlook for the precious metal.

Could the US election outcome and hopes of an imminent Covid-19 vaccine keep markets trending upwards?

We discuss how bond markets have responded to the US election.

Why we believe the post-pandemic economy will take some time to get back to pre-crisis levels.

We assess the ramifications of the European Union’s €750bn deal for EU bond markets and the euro.

We assess how US-dollar strength will affect the global economy as it starts to recover from the pandemic.

We assess some potential consequences of the pandemic, and how they may play out in the global economy.

We assess the potential impact of an unprecedented US fiscal stimulus package on markets.

We analyse the impact of Covid-19 on global bond markets in anticipation of the next stage.

Coronavirus-induced volatility continues to plague markets, but are there some tentative early signs of recovery?