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The site you are about to enter is intended for Australian wholesale clients only (as that term is defined in section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth)) and is not intended for distribution to, nor should it be relied upon by, retail clients. Newton Investment Management Limited (Newton) is authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). Newton is providing financial services to wholesale clients in Australia in reliance on ASIC Corporations (Repeal and Transitional) Instrument 2016/396, a copy of which is on the website of the Australian Securities and Investments Commission, www.asic.gov.au. The Instrument exempts entities that are authorised and regulated in the UK by the FCA, such as Newton, from the need to hold an Australian financial services license under the Corporations Act 2001 for certain financial services provided to Australian wholesale clients on certain conditions. Financial services provided by Newton are regulated by the FCA under the laws and regulatory requirements of the United Kingdom, which are different to the laws applying in Australia. This information is made available by Newton Investment Management Limited and Emesco Agents Pty Ltd.

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Newton Portal
Australia Insights Fixed income

fixed income

Blog

Newton’s top 10 debates for 2025

We debate the most out-of-consensus viewpoints for 2025.

10 January 2025 Brock Campbell, Newton secular research team
Blog

Fixed-income outlook 2025: Opportunity and uncertainty

We assess the global outlook for 2025 and uncover the key areas of opportunity for bond investors.

11 December 2024 Ella Hoxha
Blog

US election: Third time’s a charm?

We consider the broad investment implications of Donald Trump’s US election victory.

12 November 2024 Brendan Mulhern
Blog

Global bond outlook: Is it back to the future?

How should bond investors approach market conditions similar to those last seen in the 1970s?

26 July 2024 Ella Hoxha
City, Metropolis, Urban
Blog

UK election: What could it mean for bond markets?

We assess how the new UK government and its policy initiatives might affect UK finances and bond markets.

23 July 2024 Newton fixed income team
Theme update
Blog

Inflation, debt and rates: The trinity defining markets

We assess the current and potential future impact of inflation, debt and interest rates upon markets.

12 June 2024 Newton fixed income team
Blog

Europe: Coming together again?

With an evolving macro and geopolitical backdrop driving changes within the eurozone, we consider the investment implications.

13 May 2024 Ella Hoxha
Road, City, Metropolis
Blog

Indonesian elections: Presiding over an emerging powerhouse

Against the backdrop of presidential and legislative elections, we assess the investment outlook for booming Indonesia.

15 February 2024 Newton fixed income team
Architecture, Building, Cityscape
Blog

Macro-geopolitical 2024 outlook: Pivotal election year ahead

With several key trends set to reach an important climax in 2024, we consider the investment implications.

06 December 2023 Newton fixed income team
Insights
Blog

Fixed-income outlook: Bonds beating cash

After two difficult years, we explain why we believe the prospects for bond investors are improving.

27 November 2023 Jon Day
Ukraine: War, Peace and Reconstruction
Blog

Ukraine: war, peace and reconstruction

What recent events in Russia could mean for the Ukraine war and Europe’s mid-term inflation outlook.

31 July 2023 Newton fixed income team
First Republic demise a symptom of higher rates
Blog

First Republic demise a symptom of higher rates

Our thoughts on First Republic's collapse and what it means for the future of the banking sector.

09 May 2023 Vivek Gautam, Michael Holton
Megacities medium
Blog

SVB: Breaking the system?

Could we see further financial casualties this year?

20 March 2023 Paul Brain
Russia and China: a new world order
Blog

Geopolitical outlook: how ‘great power competition’ will define 2023

How the theme of ‘great power competition’ could shape the macroeconomic backdrop in 2023 and beyond.

23 January 2023 Newton fixed income team
Blog

Global bond outlook: how far can the rally go?

How far can the bond rally go?

04 January 2023 Paul Brain
Blog

Are gilts still under pressure?

We assess the impact of the UK government’s Autumn Statement on the gilt market.

23 November 2022 Carl Shepherd
Bank of England
Blog

Second time lucky?

Assessing the UK’s monetary and fiscal predicament.

31 October 2022 Howard Cunningham
Policy response
Blog

Vladimir Putin: Mr three per cent?

We examine how the Russian leader’s actions have affected the market’s risk premium and what might happen next.

21 October 2022 Newton fixed income team
The power of divergence
Blog

The power of divergence

We analyse how diverging economies can create opportunities for bond investors with a global mindset.

01 September 2022 Paul Brain
Evolution not revolution: how our macro themes evolve
Blog

Evolution not revolution: how our macro themes evolve

How our macro-focused investment themes have evolved to deal with a changing geopolitical and economic backdrop.

04 August 2022 Paul Brain
Diverging fortunes: unearthing US bond opportunities
Blog

Diverging fortunes: unearthing US bond opportunities

We examine how the theme of divergence is creating opportunities for global bond investors in the US market.

07 June 2022 Paul Brain
Blog

Russian bear, Chinese dragon: feasting on honey or playing with fire?

As conflict continues in Ukraine, we assess the potential investment implications arising from evolving Sino-Russian relations.

08 April 2022 Newton fixed income team
Russian bear out in the cold
Blog

Russian bear out in the cold

We assess the possible investment implications of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

25 February 2022 Newton fixed income team
On the rise…
Blog

On the rise…

We assess what the Fed’s latest monetary-policy signalling could mean for bond markets.

28 January 2022 Paul Brain
Symbol, Road Sign, Sign
Blog

Inflation: stick or twist?

We assess central banks’ latest strategies on interest rates as near-term inflation continues to rise.

29 November 2021 Paul Brain
Insights
Blog

Time for taper tantrum II?

We assess the mood in bond markets as central banks once again start to focus on tapering quantitative-easing…

17 September 2021 Paul Brain
Something strange in bond markets
Blog

Something strange in bond markets…

We assess the drivers behind unusual recent moves in global bond markets and consider what may happen next.

28 July 2021 Paul Brain
Inflationary Fears Overdone?
Blog

Inflationary fears overdone?

We assess the near and mid-term implications of central-bank and government policy for bond markets.

07 April 2021 Paul Brain
US election
Blog

US election: bond investors shift focus to 2021

We discuss how bond markets have responded to the US election.

09 November 2020 Paul Brain
Navigating the debt mountain
Blog

Navigating the debt mountain

As the global pandemic fallout continues, we assess the relative merits of developed and emerging-market debt.

03 November 2020 Trevor Holder
Blog

Beyond Covid-19: The ‘U-bend’ recovery

Why we believe the post-pandemic economy will take some time to get back to pre-crisis levels.

20 August 2020 Paul Brain
Blog

European recovery assured?

We assess the ramifications of the European Union’s €750bn deal for EU bond markets and the euro.

21 July 2020 Paul Brain
Blog

Is investment grade nearing the ‘danger zone’?

We assess two potential tail-risk scenarios from the pandemic that could hurt investment-grade bond investors.

26 June 2020 Howard Cunningham
US dollar: devalue to save the world?
Blog

US dollar: devalue to save the world?

We assess how US-dollar strength will affect the global economy as it starts to recover from the pandemic.

22 May 2020 Paul Brain
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Individual Investors will be redirected to bnymellon.com

This is a financial promotion. Issued by Newton Investment Management Limited, 160 Queen Victoria Street, London, EC4V 4LA. Registered in England No. 01371973. Newton Investment Management is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, 12 Endeavour Square, London, E20 1JN and is a subsidiary of The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation. Newton is providing financial services to wholesale clients in Australia in reliance on ASIC Class Order 03/1099, a copy of which is on the website of the Australian Securities and Investments Commission, www.asic.gov.au. The Class Order exempts entities that are authorised and regulated in the UK by the FCA, such as Newton, from the need to hold an Australian financial services license under the Corporations Act 2001 for certain financial services provided to Australian wholesale clients on certain conditions. Financial services provided by Newton are regulated by the FCA under the laws and regulatory requirements of the United Kingdom, which are different to the laws applying in Australia.

Material in this publication is for general information only. The opinions expressed in this document are those of Newton and should not be construed as investment advice or recommendations for any purchase or sale of any specific security or commodity. Certain information contained herein is based on outside sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. You should consult your advisor to determine whether any particular investment strategy is appropriate. This material is for institutional investors only. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Your capital may be at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the original amount invested.

This material is for Australian wholesale clients only and is not intended for distribution to, nor should it be relied upon by, retail clients. This information has not been prepared to take into account the investment objectives, financial objectives or particular needs of any particular person. Before making an investment decision you should carefully consider, with or without the assistance of a financial adviser, whether such an investment strategy is appropriate in light of your particular investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances.

This information is made available by Newton and BNY Mellon Investment Management Australia Ltd (AFSL 227865). This information is confidential and is only provided to Australian wholesale clients (as that term is defined in section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth)). This is not an offering or the solicitation of an offer to purchase an interest in any financial product referred to in this website. This content is for general purposes only and should not be relied upon as financial product advice. This content has been prepared without taking into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of any person. Before making an investment decision an investor should consider the appropriateness of the information in this website having regard to these matters and read the disclosure document relating to a financial product. Investors should also consider obtaining independent advice before making any investment decisions. Investments can go up and down and to the extent that this website contains any past performance information, past performance is not a reliable indicator of the future performance of the relevant investment or any similar investment strategy.

Newton Investment Management Limited is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence in respect of the financial services it provides to wholesale clients in Australia and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority of the UK under UK laws, which differ from Australian laws.