macro views

How stickier-than-expected inflation could influence monetary policy decisions over the coming weeks and months.

Andy Warwick and Aron Pataki assess the market outlook and discuss where they see opportunities.

Our thoughts on First Republic's collapse and what it means for the future of the banking sector.

Paul Birchenough assesses the implications of recent market events for emerging markets.

Paul Flood explores the key factors driving markets and considers what these mean for multi-asset portfolios.

Paul Markham discusses how recent bank failures have affected the outlook for equity markets.

Paul Brain assesses what volatility means for fixed-income markets and explores the key areas of opportunity.

Portfolio manager Jon Bell considers the key structural changes driving markets and the outlook for equity income.

Can China break free from US-led containment policies?

What was behind the recent banking turmoil and what are the implications for the market outlook?

As market participants navigate China’s reopening, banking turmoil and an uncertain monetary-policy trajectory, we consider the investment implications.

Could we see further financial casualties this year?

We examine the future of commercial real estate and its implications for employers and employees alike.

Fixed-income head Paul Brain explains why he believes this year could be more positive for bonds.

Listen to why and how Newton uses micro and macro themes as part of its investment research.

After a brutal year for financial-market participants, are there blue skies on the horizon?

With the backdrop uncertain and challenging, we assess the investment opportunities.

How the theme of ‘great power competition’ could shape the macroeconomic backdrop in 2023 and beyond.

With inflation showing signs of peaking and uncertainty over the path of monetary policy, how should investors respond?

How far can the bond rally go?

CEO Euan Munro explores opportunities amid a changing structural backdrop and as market conditions have evolved dramatically.

Explore how commercial real estate can build from pandemic lows as offices reopen.

How can a different approach to equity investment seek out opportunities in a radically different market regime?

We reveal our key macro findings from a recent fact-finding trip to Tokyo.

We assess the impact of the UK government’s Autumn Statement on the gilt market.

Our themes continue to evolve in line with the significant changes we are seeing across the globe.

What are the barriers to safe autonomous driving?

In the latest Double Take, we examine the investment implications of the continuing energy crisis enveloping the UK.

Are global bond opportunities starting to appear?

We examine how the Russian leader’s actions have affected the market’s risk premium and what might happen next.

We investigate the rapidly evolving world of cryptocurrency compliance as financial institutions plan to expand into digital assets.

With monetary tightening and geopolitical tensions putting pressure on returns, where can investors find opportunities?

Widening geopolitical fault lines and monetary tightening provided an increasingly uncertain backdrop for investors during the third quarter.

What opportunities and perils lie in store for investors as the energy crisis unfolds in Europe?

Key (and sometimes surprising) findings from a recent trip to Vietnam.

We analyse potential consequences of new UK fiscal and monetary policy for UK bonds and the wider economy.

We analyse how diverging economies can create opportunities for bond investors with a global mindset.

CEO Euan Munro explains why key boundary conditions make it important to challenge the norms of multi-asset investing.

How are legacy financial institutions managing cryptocurrencies? We discuss this and more in our latest Double Take episode.

We discuss the macroeconomic factors driving the potential return of manufacturing jobs to the US.

As central banks attempt to curb inflation, are they hiking economies into recession?

Geopolitical tensions remained high and inflationary forces intensified during the second quarter. What are the implications for investors?

Is the US ahead of the curve or behind in the regulation and disclosure of human capital management?

Why deglobalisation and supply shortages are leading to greater government intervention.

We examine the conditions that have led to increasingly high levels of inflation.

Why now for US small and mid-caps?

We discuss how our global equity specialists are managing the volatility of today’s market landscape.

We discuss the potential of nuclear energy and how it may fit into the global energy transition.

Will the potential reshoring boom lead to a capital-expenditure supercycle? We discuss in our latest Double Take episode.

How the Ukraine conflict could change the geopolitical and investment landscape.

Using fixed income to help navigate a rising interest-rate environment.

In our latest Double Take podcast, we explore nuclear power and its potential as a clean energy alternative.

As conflict continues in Ukraine, we assess the potential investment implications arising from evolving Sino-Russian relations.

We investigate how big tech companies are mining personal data, and how regulators and lawmakers are responding.

We examine the long-term global structural impacts of the Ukraine war and Russia’s pariah status.

In our latest Double Take podcast, we investigate the massive changes happening in big tech and regulator reactions.

We assess what the Fed’s latest monetary-policy signalling could mean for bond markets.

We assess Russian President Vladimir Putin’s list of demands over Ukraine and future implications for Europe’s security architecture.

We discuss the importance of thematic and sustainability considerations when investing in emerging markets.

Can India emulate China's recent growth?

We assess the impact of a potential rate rise by the Bank of England next week.

Why we believe the post-Covid recovery will be different from the post-financial crisis period.

Tackling climate change: How did we get here?

With protectionist measures on the increase globally, we discuss some of the opportunities and risks for investors.

We assess the near and mid-term implications of central-bank and government policy for bond markets.

Bond markets have endured a tough year. We discuss the inflation threat and where to find best value.

We assess the implications of the UK Budget for bond markets and the wider economy.

Will inflation finally re-emerge in a post-pandemic recovery, and how can a balanced portfolio prepare for it?

As policy intervention ratchets up to new levels in response to Covid-19, what are the implications for investors?

We discuss the outlook for the precious metal.

A focus on two more of our primary investment themes: ‘state intervention’ and ‘healthy demand’

A focus on three of our primary investment themes: ‘Earth matters’, ‘consumer power’ and ‘China influence’.

Could the US election outcome and hopes of an imminent Covid-19 vaccine keep markets trending upwards?

We assess the implications of Joe Biden’s US presidential election victory.

We discuss how bond markets have responded to the US election.

The outlook for inflation, and a focus on sustainable fixed-incoming investing.

How the monetary and fiscal response to Covid-19 is reshaping bond markets.

With the US election fast approaching, we assess the potential implications for markets.

Why we believe the post-pandemic economy will take some time to get back to pre-crisis levels.

We assess the ramifications of the European Union’s €750bn deal for EU bond markets and the euro.

How is the pandemic changing global trends?

How will Covid-19 shape the post-pandemic investment landscape?

We assess how US-dollar strength will affect the global economy as it starts to recover from the pandemic.

We assess some potential consequences of the pandemic, and how they may play out in the global economy.

We assess the potential impact of an unprecedented US fiscal stimulus package on markets.

We analyse the impact of Covid-19 on global bond markets in anticipation of the next stage.

Coronavirus-induced volatility continues to plague markets, but are there some tentative early signs of recovery?

How does the spread of coronavirus affect the global investment outlook?

How can pension schemes and asset managers keep up with a disruptive and fast-moving investment backdrop?

How the spending pledges from the two main political parties could affect the UK gilts market.

Does recent US Federal Reserve activity hint at what lies ahead for US monetary policy?

Our dynamic thematic framework helps identify structural growth opportunities created by rapid urbanisation.

Boris Johnson has embarked upon a radical but controversial Brexit strategy.

We assess the latest developments as the UK moves closer to the 31 October Brexit extension deadline.

What could Boris Johnson’s victory mean for the UK’s gilt and currency markets, and future Brexit strategy?

With financial markets threatening to bounce the Fed into a fresh easing cycle, we give our perspective.

Major demographic shifts will have pronounced implications for economies and investors.

As tariffs are hiked again, where does the US-China trade war go from here?

Modern Monetary Theory is gaining traction among policymakers, but what are the possible consequences for investors and markets?

Political uncertainty could create short-term instability for Spanish bond spreads, but will it last?