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Insight

real return

Real Return
Video

Global Real Return - Quarterly Outlook

Andy Warwick and Aron Pataki consider the investment outlook for 2023 and discuss where they see opportunities.

February 13, 2023
Macro views, Real Return
Article

Real Return Team Viewpoint - January 2023

After a brutal year for financial-market participants, are there blue skies on the horizon?

February 7, 2023
Macro views, Real Return
Real Return outlook
Article

Global Real Return: Our 2023 Outlook

With the backdrop uncertain and challenging, we assess the investment opportunities.

February 7, 2023
Macro views, Real Return
Blog

What Does Net Zero Mean for Portfolios?

We discuss how we are navigating net zero in our portfolios to achieve real-world decarbonization.

James A Lydotes, Philip Shucksmith
January 27, 2023
Global equities, Real Return, Sustainable
Investment thoughts from our Real Return team - Oct 2022
Article

Real Return Team Viewpoint

With monetary tightening and geopolitical tensions putting pressure on returns, where can investors find opportunities?

October 26, 2022
Macro views, Real Return
Keeping the lights switched on
Blog

Keeping the Lights Switched On

Energy security and decarbonization: are they mutually exclusive?

Philip Shucksmith
August 31, 2022
Real Return, Responsible investment, Sustainable
Vertical farming: a growing opportunity
Blog

Vertical Farming: A Growing Opportunity

We share our key learnings from a recent visit to a vertical farm.

Philip Shucksmith
August 16, 2022
Real Return, Responsible investment, Sustainable
Article

Real Return Team Viewpoint

As central banks attempt to curb inflation, are they hiking economies into recession?

July 29, 2022
Macro views, Real Return
Is your multi-asset strategy fit for the future?
Article

Is Your Multi-Asset Strategy Fit for the Future?

CEO Euan Munro explains why key boundary conditions make it important to challenge the norms of multi-asset investing.

July 29, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Multi-asset, Real Return
Spinning on a new inflationary axis
Blog

Spinning on a New Inflationary Axis

We examine the conditions that have led to increasingly high levels of inflation.

Brendan Mulhern
June 30, 2022
Macro views, Real Return
Real Return outlook
Blog

Positioning for a New Market Regime

With financial markets remaining turbulent, which sectors and asset classes could present opportunities for an unconstrained multi-asset strategy?

Catherine Doyle
June 22, 2022
Multi-asset, Real Return
Investment thoughts from our Real Return team - Apr 2022
Article

Real Return Team Viewpoint

We discuss how the Russia-Ukraine crisis has accelerated the trend of deglobalization, and the implications for investors.

April 28, 2022
Macro views, Real Return
Copper: strong tailwinds, although the ride could be bumpy
Blog

Copper: Strong Tailwinds, Although the Ride Could Be Bumpy

With tight supply and growing demand, we discuss the outlook for copper.

Catherine Doyle
December 8, 2021
Real Return, Sector research
A monetary regime change or just a mild bout of inflation?
Blog

Not Another Financial Crisis

Why we believe the post-Covid recovery will be different from the post-financial crisis period.

Brendan Mulhern
October 14, 2021
Macro views, Real Return
A monetary regime change or just a mild bout of inflation?
Blog

Inflation: The Only Question That Matters

We unpick the cozy consensus on inflation

Brendan Mulhern
August 25, 2021
Macro views, Real Return
On the defensive
Blog

On the Defensive

With protectionist measures on the increase globally, we discuss some of the opportunities and risks for investors.

Matt Brown
May 25, 2021
Macro views, Real Return
No longer glittering
Blog

No Longer Glittering?

With the gold price trending lower in recent months, we assess the outlook for the precious metal.

Catherine Doyle
April 12, 2021
Multi-asset, Real Return, Sector research
Bitcoin
Blog

Bitcoin – Fool’s Gold or Digital Mecca?

With the cryptocurrency increasingly in the spotlight, we consider its role in a multi-asset portfolio.

Catherine Doyle
February 4, 2021
Multi-asset, Real Return, Sector research
Is the stage set for inflation?
Blog

Is the Stage Set for Inflation?

Will inflation finally re-emerge in a post-pandemic recovery, and how can a balanced portfolio prepare for it?

Aron Pataki
February 2, 2021
Macro views, Real Return
State of play
Blog

State of Play

As policy intervention ratchets up to new levels in response to Covid-19, what are the implications for investors?

Matt Brown
January 18, 2021
Macro views, Real Return, Themes
Gold, Box, Treasure
Blog

Gold: Tailwinds?

We discuss the outlook for the precious metal.

Catherine Doyle
December 14, 2020
Macro views, Real Return, Sector research
Market melt-up?
Blog

Market Melt-Up?

Could the US election outcome and hopes of an imminent Covid-19 vaccine keep markets trending upwards?

Brendan Mulhern
November 12, 2020
Macro views, Real Return
Preserve and protect 
Blog

Preserve and Protect

There are significant risks on the horizon, but we believe opportunities are emerging.

Suzanne Hutchins
October 26, 2020
Macro views, Real Return
Is volatility here to stay?
Blog

Is Volatility Here to Stay?

We provide our macro outlook for the second half of 2020.

Suzanne Hutchins
July 10, 2020
Defined contribution, Macro views, Real Return
ESG: On the radar of the tech giants
Blog

ESG: On the Radar of the Tech Giants

As the world slowly emerges from the pandemic, we assess the technology sector’s shifting attitudes to ESG issues.

Catherine Doyle
June 30, 2020
Defined contribution, Global equities, Real Return, Responsible investment, Sector research, Sustainable, Themes
Blog

Covid-19: The US Goes Big

We assess the potential impact of an unprecedented US fiscal stimulus package on markets.

Brendan Mulhern
March 26, 2020
Macro views, Real Return
Blog

Coronavirus: Back from the Brink?

Coronavirus-induced volatility continues to plague markets, but are there some tentative early signs of recovery?

Brendan Mulhern
March 9, 2020
Macro views, Real Return
Going viral
Blog

Going Viral

How does the spread of coronavirus affect the global investment outlook?

Brendan Mulhern
February 7, 2020
Macro views, Real Return
QE 4 to the rescue? Not quite…
Blog

QE 4 to the Rescue? Not Quite…

Does recent Federal Reserve activity hint at what lies ahead for US monetary policy?

Brendan Mulhern
December 9, 2019
Macro views, Multi-asset, Real Return, Sector research
Blog

Perspective on the Pivot

With financial markets threatening to bounce the Fed into a fresh easing cycle, we give our perspective.

Newton Real Return team
July 18, 2019
Macro views, Real Return
Golden Opportunity?
Blog

Golden Opportunity?

Gold can be hard to decipher as an investment. How should you go about understanding this tricky commodity?

Newton Real Return team
May 31, 2019
Real Return, Sector research
Blog

The Rise and Rise of ‘MMT’ Economics

Modern Monetary Theory is gaining traction among policymakers, but what are the possible consequences for investors and markets?

Brendan Mulhern
May 23, 2019
Macro views, Real Return
Blog

Prop-ping up a Powerhouse

How the property market continues to dominate the cyclical ups and downs of China’s economy.

Brendan Mulhern
April 15, 2019
Emerging markets & Asia, Real Return
Populist push
Blog

Populist Push

A new ‘post-globalization’ era may have major implications for investors.

Andy Warwick
March 25, 2019
Macro views, Real Return
Blog

Inflation: The Rise and Fall

With consumer price inflation remaining subdued despite extreme monetary policies, should investors still worry about inflation risk?

Newton Real Return team
March 22, 2019
Macro views, Real Return
Blog

A Year of Two Halves?

With a decade of financial excess now behind us, the risks appear skewed to the downside.

Brendan Mulhern
February 11, 2019
Macro views, Real Return
Blog

Downward Momentum

Trade confrontations may dominate the headlines, but deeper structural concerns are driving market movements.

Brendan Mulhern
December 10, 2018
Macro views, Real Return
Blog

Call the Fire Department

We evaluate the current inflationary backdrop through the lens of our ‘fire risks’ investment theme.

Iain Stewart, Brendan Mulhern
June 19, 2018
Macro views, Real Return
Blog

A Perspective on Returns 3: Boom and Bust

Why we think this cycle has a significant chance of ending with a bang rather than a whimper.

Newton Real Return team
March 26, 2018
Macro views, Real Return
Blog

A Perspective on Returns 2: This Time It’s Different?

While many argue against the current economic cycle being a rerun of the last, we beg to differ.

Newton Real Return team
March 22, 2018
Macro views, Real Return
Blog

A Perspective on Returns 1: Where Are We Now?

Have we seen an extended cyclical bull market or sustainable secular expansion?

Newton Real Return team
March 20, 2018
Macro views, Real Return
Blog

The Great Deception

Is it time for central banks to disregard CPI as a guide for determining monetary policy?

Brendan Mulhern
November 27, 2017
Macro views, Real Return
Blog

Forks in the Road

Trump’s promises, a questionable economic recovery and how to navigate them.

Aron Pataki
October 22, 2017
Real Return
Blog

Draining the Punchbowl

As central banks start to withdraw liquidity support, can risk assets continue their strong run?

Brendan Mulhern
September 28, 2017
Real Return
Blog

Grand Designs

Why all infrastructure investment opportunities aren’t created equal.

Philip Shucksmith
August 15, 2017
Real Return
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This is a financial promotion. Issued by Newton Investment Management Limited, The Bank of New York Mellon Centre, 160 Queen Victoria Street, London, EC4V 4LA. Registered in England No. 01371973. Newton Investment Management is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, 12 Endeavour Square, London, E20 1JN and is a subsidiary of The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation. Newton is registered with the SEC as an investment adviser under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. Newton’s investment business is described in Form ADV, Part 1 and 2, which can be obtained from the SEC.gov website or obtained upon request. Material in this publication is for general information only. The opinions expressed in this document are those of Newton and should not be construed as investment advice or recommendations for any purchase or sale of any specific security or commodity. Certain information contained herein is based on outside sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. You should consult your advisor to determine whether any particular investment strategy is appropriate. This material is for institutional investors only. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Your capital may be at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the original amount invested. Unless you are notified to the contrary, the products and services mentioned are not insured by the FDIC (or by any governmental entity) and are not guaranteed by or obligations of The Bank of New York or any of its affiliates. The Bank of New York assumes no responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the above data and disclaims all expressed or implied warranties in connection therewith. © 2006 The Bank of New York Company, Inc. All rights reserved.