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Insight

macro views

Article

Investment Outlook – January 2023

With inflation showing signs of peaking and uncertainty over the path of monetary policy, how should investors respond?

January 30, 2023
Macro views
Is China ‘uninvestible’?
Blog

Emerging-Market Equities: Finally Time to Shine?

After a prolonged period of relative underperformance, could emerging-market equities be set for a renaissance?

Ian Smith
January 27, 2023
Emerging markets & Asia, Macro views, Sustainable, Themes
Defining our approach to thematic investing
Audio

Defining Our Approach to Thematic Investing

Listen to why and how Newton uses micro and macro themes as part of its investment research.

January 26, 2023
Macro views, Sector research, Themes
Charity seminar online series
Blog

Global Bond Outlook: How Far Can the Rally Go?

We analyze the prospects for bond markets in 2023.

Paul Brain
January 6, 2023
Fixed income, Macro views, Themes
Beyond the boundaries: investment opportunities in a new market regime
Article

Beyond the Boundaries: Investment Opportunities in a New Market Regime

CEO Euan Munro explores opportunities amid a changing structural backdrop and as market conditions have evolved dramatically.

December 21, 2022
Fixed income, Global income, Macro views, Themes
A Blueprint for Commercial Real Estate’s Future
Audio

A Blueprint for Commercial Real Estate’s Future

Explore how commercial real estate can build from pandemic lows as offices reopen.

December 8, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
Investment Matters
Audio

How Can a Different Approach to Equity Investment Address the New Market Regime?

How can a different approach to equity investment seek out opportunities in a radically different market regime?

December 6, 2022
Global equities, Macro views, Multi-asset, Sector research
Article

The Evolution of Our Themes

Our themes continue to evolve in line with the significant changes we are seeing across the globe.

November 10, 2022
Macro views, Sector research, Themes
Autonomous Roadblocks
Audio

Autonomous Roadblocks

What are the barriers to safe autonomous driving?

November 7, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
London
Blog

Second Time Lucky?

We assess the prospects for UK government bonds

Howard Cunningham
November 1, 2022
Defined contribution, Fixed income, Macro views, Sector research
Global equity income
Video

Global Equity Income – Quarterly Outlook

Portfolio manager Jon Bell discusses the market backdrop, the risk of recession and the implications for equity income.

October 31, 2022
Global income, Macro views
Investment thoughts from our Real Return team - Oct 2022
Article

Real Return Team Viewpoint

With monetary tightening and geopolitical tensions putting pressure on returns, where can investors find opportunities?

October 26, 2022
Macro views, Real Return
Investment comment – October 2022
Article

Investment Outlook - October 2022

Widening geopolitical fault lines and monetary tightening provided an increasingly uncertain backdrop for investors during the third quarter.

October 26, 2022
Macro views
Retake on Double Take: A UK Winter of Discontent
Blog

Retake on Double Take: A UK Winter of Discontent

In the latest Double Take, we examine the investment implications of the continuing energy crisis enveloping the UK.

Jack Encarnacao, Raphael J. Lewis
October 25, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
Policy response
Blog

Vladimir Putin: Mr. Three Per Cent?

We examine how the Russian leader’s actions have affected the market’s risk premium and what might happen next.

Richard Bullock
October 24, 2022
Emerging markets & Asia, Fixed income, Global equities, Macro views, Ukraine
Paul Brain
Video

Opportunities in a Rising Rate Environment

Where now for global bond investors?

October 24, 2022
Fixed income, Macro views, Sector research
A UK Winter of Discontent
Audio

A UK Winter of Discontent

What opportunities and perils lie in store for investors as the energy crisis unfolds in Europe?

October 11, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
Blog

UK Mini Budget: The Closest Thing to Crazy?

We analyze potential consequences of new UK fiscal and monetary policy for UK bonds and the wider economy.

Howard Cunningham
September 28, 2022
Fixed income, Macro views
Wristwatch, Coin, Money
Blog

Retake on Double Take: Compliant Crypto

We investigate the rapidly evolving world of cryptocurrency compliance as financial institutions plan to expand into digital assets.

Jack Encarnacao, Raphael J. Lewis
September 27, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
Retake on Double Take: Cannabis Highs and Lows
Blog

Retake on Double Take: Cannabis Highs and Lows

As the US legal landscape evolves, we explore the many opportunities and unique challenges of selling marijuana products.

Raphael J. Lewis, Jack Encarnacao
September 22, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
Cannabis Highs and Lows
Audio

Cannabis Highs and Lows

How is the US cannabis industry faring during volatile times? We discuss in our latest Double Take episode.

September 21, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
The power of divergence
Blog

The Power of Divergence

We analyze how diverging economies can create opportunities for bond investors with a global mindset.

Paul Brain
September 1, 2022
Fixed income, Macro views, Themes
Office Building, Building, High Rise
Blog

Retake on Double Take: Equity and Inclusion

Why the integration and disclosure of people with disabilities in workplaces displays good values and is economically practical.

Raphael J. Lewis, Jack Encarnacao
August 23, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
Person, Human, Rug
Blog

Retake on Double Take: Diversity and Human Capital

We discuss the evolving state of diversity, human capital management, and disclosure at public companies.

Raphael J. Lewis, Jack Encarnacao
August 19, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
Investment comment - July 2022
Article

Investment Outlook – July 2022

Geopolitical tensions remained high and inflationary forces intensified during the second quarter. What are the implications for investors?

July 29, 2022
Macro views
Article

Real Return Team Viewpoint

As central banks attempt to curb inflation, are they hiking economies into recession?

July 29, 2022
Macro views, Real Return
Is your multi-asset strategy fit for the future?
Article

Is Your Multi-Asset Strategy Fit for the Future?

CEO Euan Munro explains why key boundary conditions make it important to challenge the norms of multi-asset investing.

July 29, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Multi-asset, Real Return
Compliant Crypto
Audio

Compliant Crypto

How are legacy financial institutions managing cryptocurrencies? We discuss this and more in our latest Double Take episode.

July 27, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
The end of globalisation as we know it
Blog

The End of Globalization as We Know It

Why deglobalization and supply shortages are leading to greater government intervention.

Simon Nichols
July 8, 2022
Macro views, Themes
Retake on Double Take: The Reshoring Decision
Blog

Retake on Double Take: The Reshoring Decision

We investigate the trend of deglobalization and explore why some manufacturers are bringing operations back home.

Raphael J. Lewis, Jack Encarnacao
June 30, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
Diversity and Human Capital
Audio

Diversity and Human Capital

Is the US ahead of the curve or behind in the regulation and disclosure of human capital management?

June 30, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
Spinning on a new inflationary axis
Blog

Spinning on a New Inflationary Axis

We examine the conditions that have led to increasingly high levels of inflation.

Brendan Mulhern
June 30, 2022
Macro views, Real Return
Why now for US small and mid-cap investments?
Audio

Why Now for US Small and Mid-Cap Investments?

Why now for US small and mid-caps?

June 23, 2022
Global equities, Macro views, Newton philosophy, Sector research, US equities
How Can Dynamic US Equity Navigate Rising Rates?
Article

How Can Dynamic US Equity Navigate Rising Rates?

While the current environment poses challenges, we demonstrate that it may not be unambiguously negative for Dynamic Equity.

June 15, 2022
Macro views, Multi-asset
Newton's Systematic Approach to Predicting US Inflation and Interest Rates: An Update
Article

Newton’s Systematic Approach to Predicting US Inflation and Interest Rates: An Update

What a difference a year makes.

June 13, 2022
Macro views, Multi-asset
Diverging fortunes: unearthing US bond opportunities
Blog

Diverging Fortunes: Unearthing US Bond Opportunities

We examine how the theme of divergence is creating opportunities for global bond investors in the US market.

Paul Brain
June 7, 2022
Fixed income, Macro views, Sector research, Themes, Ukraine
Global Equities: Navigating a Volatile Backdrop
Blog

Global Equities: Navigating a Volatile Backdrop

We discuss how our global equity specialists are managing the volatility of today’s market landscape.

John R Porter III
June 6, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
Retake on Double Take: A Nuclear Renaissance?
Blog

Retake on Double Take: A Nuclear Renaissance?

We discuss the potential of nuclear energy and how it may fit into the global energy transition.

Raphael J. Lewis, Jack Encarnacao
May 26, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research, Sustainable
Through the Looking Glass
Article

Through the Looking Glass: Cobwebs, Turkeys, and Our Views on Global Natural Resources

We believe in the attractiveness of the global natural resource sector and its place in a well-diversified portfolio.

May 23, 2022
Global equities, Macro views
The reshoring decision
Audio

The Reshoring Decision

Will the potential reshoring boom lead to a capital-expenditure supercycle? We discuss in our latest Double Take episode.

May 23, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
Investment matters: Russia, China and the new world order
Audio

Russia, China and the New World Order

How the Ukraine conflict could change the geopolitical and investment landscape.

May 19, 2022
Emerging markets & Asia, Fixed income, Global equities, Macro views, Sector research, Ukraine
Blog

Unpacking the Great Gold Performance of the 1970s

Empirical evidence shows gold may not be a reliable inflation hedge.

Roberto M Croce
May 17, 2022
Macro views
Investment comment - April 2022
Article

Investment Outlook – April 2022

Investors face heightened uncertainty from rising inflation, tighter monetary policy and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

April 28, 2022
Macro views
Investment thoughts from our Real Return team - Apr 2022
Article

Real Return Team Viewpoint

We discuss how the Russia-Ukraine crisis has accelerated the trend of deglobalization, and the implications for investors.

April 28, 2022
Macro views, Real Return
A nuclear renaissance?
Audio

A Nuclear Renaissance?

In our latest Double Take podcast, we explore nuclear power and its potential as a clean energy alternative.

April 21, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Responsible investment, Sector research
Server, Computer, Hardware
Blog

Retake on Double Take: Data Privacy and Regulating Big Tech

We investigate how big tech companies are mining personal data, and how regulators and lawmakers are responding.

Raphael J. Lewis, Jack Encarnacao
April 4, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
Ukraine Russia war soldier
Blog

Russian Bear: Exiled and Grizzly

We examine the long-term global structural impacts of the Ukraine war and Russia’s pariah status.

Richard Bullock
March 23, 2022
Emerging markets & Asia, Fixed income, Global equities, Macro views, Ukraine
Inflation Hedging in Strategic Asset Allocations: Gold or Something Else?
Blog

Inflation Hedging: Gold or Something Else?

Conventional wisdom says that traditional stock and bond investments typically perform poorly during inflation episodes.

Roberto M Croce
March 16, 2022
Macro views
Light, Laser, Graphics
Audio

Data Privacy and Regulating Big Tech

In our latest Double Take podcast, we investigate the massive changes happening in big tech and regulator reactions.

March 9, 2022
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
Russian bear out in the cold
Blog

Russian Bear Out in the Cold

We assess the possible investment implications of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Richard Bullock
March 3, 2022
Fixed income, Global equities, Macro views, Sector research, Ukraine
2022: The Investment Road Ahead
Audio

2022: The Investment Road Ahead

How should investors be positioned in 2022 and beyond? We discuss in our latest episode of Double Take.

February 3, 2022
Industry views, Macro views
On the rise…
Blog

On the Rise…

We assess what the Fed’s latest monetary-policy signaling could mean for bond markets.

Paul Brain
January 28, 2022
Fixed income, Macro views, Sector research
Emerging giants: Can India emulate China's recent growth?
Audio

China and India: taking a sustainable approach

We discuss the importance of thematic and sustainability considerations when investing in emerging markets.

January 4, 2022
Emerging markets & Asia, Global equities, Macro views, Responsible investment, Sector research, Sustainable
Buy Now, Pay Later
Audio

Buy Now, Pay (More?) Later?

We explore this year’s red-hot payment installment program that is supercharging holiday gifting – buy now, pay later.

December 21, 2021
Industry views, Macro views
The China policy assault
Video

The China Policy Assault

How should investors interpret the latest government policy? We interview Terry Branstad, former US ambassador to China.

December 20, 2021
Emerging markets & Asia, Macro views
Emerging giants: Can India emulate China's recent growth?
Audio

Emerging Giants: Can India Emulate China's Recent Growth?

Can India emulate China's recent growth?

December 15, 2021
Emerging markets & Asia, Macro views, Responsible investment, Sector research
The future of the Fortune 500 in China
Video

The Future of the Fortune 500 in China

We speak to the US-China Business Council about how multinational corporations are thinking about their investments with China.

November 26, 2021
Emerging markets & Asia, Macro views
Supply Chain Reaction
Audio

Supply Chain Reaction

The latest Double Take investigates the links between Covid, consumer demand, cargo, and the current supply chain crisis.

November 17, 2021
Industry views, Macro views, Sector research
A monetary regime change or just a mild bout of inflation?
Blog

Not Another Financial Crisis

Why we believe the post-Covid recovery will be different from the post-financial crisis period.

Brendan Mulhern
October 14, 2021
Macro views, Real Return
The Sustainability of Sustainability
Audio

The Sustainability of Sustainability

Mining, waste, and carbon emissions. Is the full life cycle of green tech truly sustainable?

October 5, 2021
Macro views, Responsible investment, Sustainable
A monetary regime change or just a mild bout of inflation?
Blog

Inflation: The Only Question That Matters

We unpick the cozy consensus on inflation

Brendan Mulhern
August 25, 2021
Macro views, Real Return
Investment Matters
Audio

How Will We Get to Net Zero? Part I

Tackling climate change: How did we get here?

July 16, 2021
Industry views, Macro views, Responsible investment, Sector research, Sustainable
On the defensive
Blog

On the Defensive

With protectionist measures on the increase globally, we discuss some of the opportunities and risks for investors.

Matt Brown
May 25, 2021
Macro views, Real Return
Investment Matters - Podcast
Audio

Bonds: tackling inflation and finding value in fixed-income markets

Bond markets have endured a tough year. We discuss the inflation threat and where to find best value.

April 7, 2021
Fixed income, Macro views
Is the stage set for inflation?
Blog

Is the Stage Set for Inflation?

Will inflation finally re-emerge in a post-pandemic recovery, and how can a balanced portfolio prepare for it?

Aron Pataki
February 2, 2021
Macro views, Real Return
State of play
Blog

State of Play

As policy intervention ratchets up to new levels in response to Covid-19, what are the implications for investors?

Matt Brown
January 18, 2021
Macro views, Real Return, Themes
Gold, Box, Treasure
Blog

Gold: Tailwinds?

We discuss the outlook for the precious metal.

Catherine Doyle
December 14, 2020
Macro views, Real Return, Sector research
The importance of thematic investing
Audio

The importance of thematic investing: Part two

A focus on two more of our primary investment themes: ‘state intervention’ and ‘healthy demand’

December 9, 2020
Macro views, Themes
The importance of thematic investing
Audio

The importance of thematic investing: Part one

A focus on three of our primary investment themes: ‘Earth matters’, ‘consumer power’ and ‘China influence’.

November 12, 2020
Macro views, Themes
Market melt-up?
Blog

Market Melt-Up?

Could the US election outcome and hopes of an imminent Covid-19 vaccine keep markets trending upwards?

Brendan Mulhern
November 12, 2020
Macro views, Real Return
US election
Blog

Biden: His Time

We assess the implications of Joe Biden’s US presidential election victory.

Paul Markham
November 9, 2020
Global equities, Macro views
US election
Blog

US Election: Bond Investors Shift Focus to 2021

We discuss how bond markets have responded to the US election.

Paul Brain
November 9, 2020
Fixed income, Macro views
Beyond the pandemic - Podcast
Audio

Beyond the pandemic: the bonds perspective: Part II

The outlook for inflation, and a focus on sustainable fixed-incoming investing.

October 27, 2020
Fixed income, Macro views, Responsible investment, Sector research, Sustainable
Preserve and protect 
Blog

Preserve and Protect

There are significant risks on the horizon, but we believe opportunities are emerging.

Suzanne Hutchins
October 26, 2020
Macro views, Real Return
Investment Matters - Podcast
Audio

Beyond the pandemic: the bonds perspective

How the monetary and fiscal response to Covid-19 is reshaping bond markets.

October 21, 2020
Fixed income, Macro views, Responsible investment, Sector research, Sustainable
Episode 12: Election Implications
Audio

CIOs Perspectives: Election Implications

We examine potential election implications from the perspectives of our equity, fixed income, and multi-asset CIOs.

October 14, 2020
Fixed income, Global equities, Macro views, Multi-asset
Blog

Beyond Covid-19: The ‘U-Bend’ Recovery

Why we believe the post-pandemic economy will take some time to get back to pre-crisis levels.

Paul Brain
August 20, 2020
Fixed income, Macro views, Sector research, Themes
Is volatility here to stay?
Blog

Is Volatility Here to Stay?

We provide our macro outlook for the second half of 2020.

Suzanne Hutchins
July 10, 2020
Defined contribution, Macro views, Real Return
Podcast: Looking through the pandemic episode-1
Audio

Looking Through the Pandemic: Part II

How is the pandemic changing global trends?

July 9, 2020
Macro views, Responsible investment, Sector research, Sustainable
Podcast: Looking through the pandemic episode-1
Audio

Looking Through the Pandemic: Part II

How is the pandemic changing global trends?

July 9, 2020
Macro views, Responsible investment, Sector research, Sustainable
Podcast: Looking through the pandemic episode-1
Audio

Looking Through the Pandemic: Part I

How will Covid-19 shape the post-pandemic investment landscape?

June 24, 2020
Macro views, Responsible investment, Sector research, Sustainable
US dollar: devalue to save the world?
Blog

US Dollar: Devalue to Save the World?

We assess how US-dollar strength will affect the global economy as it starts to recover from the pandemic.

Paul Brain
May 22, 2020
Fixed income, Macro views, Sector research
Blog

Looking Through the Pandemic: The Shape of the Recovery

We assess some potential consequences of the pandemic, and how they may play out in the global economy.

Paul Brain, Howard Cunningham
May 11, 2020
Fixed income, Macro views, Themes
Episode 4: COVID-19
Audio

COVID-19

In this special edition of Double Take, Mellon's former biotech and trading experts, along with Mellon's current Chief…

April 1, 2020
Fixed income, Global equities, Macro views
Blog

Covid-19: The US Goes Big

We assess the potential impact of an unprecedented US fiscal stimulus package on markets.

Brendan Mulhern
March 26, 2020
Macro views, Real Return
Covid-19: Looking through the crisis
Blog

Covid-19: Looking Through the Crisis

We analyze the impact of Covid-19 on global bond markets in anticipation of the next stage.

Paul Brain
March 18, 2020
Fixed income, Macro views, Sector research
Blog

Coronavirus: Back from the Brink?

Coronavirus-induced volatility continues to plague markets, but are there some tentative early signs of recovery?

Brendan Mulhern
March 9, 2020
Macro views, Real Return
Going viral
Blog

Going Viral

How does the spread of coronavirus affect the global investment outlook?

Brendan Mulhern
February 7, 2020
Macro views, Real Return
A gilt-edged pledge?
Blog

A Gilt-Edged Pledge?

How the spending pledges from the two main British political parties could affect the UK's bond markets.

Howard Cunningham
December 12, 2019
Fixed income, Macro views
QE 4 to the rescue? Not quite…
Blog

QE 4 to the Rescue? Not Quite…

Does recent Federal Reserve activity hint at what lies ahead for US monetary policy?

Brendan Mulhern
December 9, 2019
Macro views, Multi-asset, Real Return, Sector research
Megacities medium
Blog

Megacities – Where Themes Collide

Our dynamic thematic framework helps identify structural growth opportunities created by rapid urbanization.

Newton global research team
November 28, 2019
Emerging markets & Asia, Macro views, Newton philosophy, Sector research
Episode 1: The New China Trade Reality
Audio

US/China Trade War: Irreversible Impacts?

Deal or no deal, what may have irreversibly changed in the US/China trade relationship.

November 22, 2019
Fixed income, Global equities, Macro views
Blog

Towards the Light

Emerging-market governments and companies are attaching increasing importance to environmental, social and governance considerations.

Newton equity opportunities team
October 15, 2019
Macro views, Responsible investment, Sustainable
Blog

Two Become One

What could Boris Johnson’s appointment as UK prime minister mean for bond and currency markets, and Brexit strategy?

Howard Cunningham
July 23, 2019
Fixed income, Macro views
Blog

Perspective on the Pivot

With financial markets threatening to bounce the Fed into a fresh easing cycle, we give our perspective.

Newton Real Return team
July 18, 2019
Macro views, Real Return
Blog

Party Like It’s Norway (or Not)

The global liquidity party remains very much in evidence, despite the Norwegian central bank’s latest rate hike.

Jon Day
June 26, 2019
Fixed income, Macro views
Blog

Population Prospects

Major demographic shifts will have pronounced implications for economies and investors.

Newton global research team
June 17, 2019
Macro views, Sector research
Blog

Trade Trouble

As tariffs are hiked again, where does the US-China trade war go from here?

Trevor Holder
May 30, 2019
Emerging markets & Asia, Fixed income, Macro views
Blog

The Rise and Rise of ‘MMT’ Economics

Modern Monetary Theory is gaining traction among policymakers, but what are the possible consequences for investors and markets?

Brendan Mulhern
May 23, 2019
Macro views, Real Return
Blog

What Now for Spain?

Political uncertainty could create short-term instability for Spanish bond spreads, but will it last?

Paul Brain
May 3, 2019
Fixed income, Macro views
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This is a financial promotion. Issued by Newton Investment Management Limited, The Bank of New York Mellon Centre, 160 Queen Victoria Street, London, EC4V 4LA. Registered in England No. 01371973. Newton Investment Management is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, 12 Endeavour Square, London, E20 1JN and is a subsidiary of The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation. Newton is registered with the SEC as an investment adviser under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. Newton’s investment business is described in Form ADV, Part 1 and 2, which can be obtained from the SEC.gov website or obtained upon request. Material in this publication is for general information only. The opinions expressed in this document are those of Newton and should not be construed as investment advice or recommendations for any purchase or sale of any specific security or commodity. Certain information contained herein is based on outside sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. You should consult your advisor to determine whether any particular investment strategy is appropriate. This material is for institutional investors only. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Your capital may be at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the original amount invested. Unless you are notified to the contrary, the products and services mentioned are not insured by the FDIC (or by any governmental entity) and are not guaranteed by or obligations of The Bank of New York or any of its affiliates. The Bank of New York assumes no responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the above data and disclaims all expressed or implied warranties in connection therewith. © 2006 The Bank of New York Company, Inc. All rights reserved.